Standard Thornburgh Signals

You know that feeling when a trend just keeps going and going, and you’re wondering “when is this thing finally going to turn?” This indicator actually answers that question with data instead of gut feeling.

Here’s the deal:

Price sits above or below a moving average for a while. Sometimes a short while, sometimes forever. Standard Thornburgh Signals keeps track of every single run—how long they typically last in your chart’s history. When the current run goes longer than average? Boom. That’s exhaustion. The background changes color and you know something’s up.

But here’s where it gets cool. Once exhaustion kicks in, the indicator starts watching for pullbacks. Not just any pullback—pullbacks that move harder than usual. Those are the ones that get marked with a triangle. Green triangles show up on dips during exhausted downtrends. Red triangles show up on bounces during exhausted uptrends. Buy low, sell high, right when the math says it matters.

Why this actually works:

Trends are real, but they’re also mean-reverting over long enough timeframes. When something’s been running hot or cold for longer than normal, probability shifts. Add an unusually sharp counter-move and you’ve got a setup worth paying attention to. It’s not magic—it’s just measuring what usually happens versus what’s happening right now.

About the name:

“Thornburgh” isn’t a person. It’s the idea that trading signals should have a universal mathematical standard. Like, we shouldn’t all be using random indicator settings we read on Reddit. There should be a systematic way to define “this trend is exhausted” and “this pullback matters.” That’s what this is.

The settings:

Default settings work pretty well out of the box—SMA(200) for trend, automatic exhaustion detection, all signals shown. But you can tweak the SMA length, manually override the exhaustion threshold, or filter out weaker signals if you want. It’s flexible without being overwhelming.

How you’d actually use this:

Wait for the background to light up. That means the trend has officially been running too long. Then watch for triangles. Green triangle appears? Price just dipped hard in an already-beaten-down market—classic buy-low setup. Red triangle appears? Price just bounced in an already-extended rally—classic sell-high opportunity.

One thing that’s nice: signals don’t repaint. When the candle closes and a triangle appears, it stays there. No vanishing markers, no retroactive genius.

Real talk:

Here’s something nobody wants to say out loud: traditional “winrate” thinking is backwards. The industry obsesses over winning every single trade in a static environment—one entry, one exit, pass or fail. That’s not how smart money operates.

If you’re using TradingView, you’re probably not a hedge fund with millisecond execution. You’re a human with time to think and capital to deploy intelligently. So here’s the actual play: when you get your first signal, buy small. Maybe skip a few signals if price keeps falling—let it find a bottom. Then add more with a heavier order. Scale in when the math says you should.

Does this “win every time” in the traditional sense? No. Does it work essentially every time if you’re patient and systematic? Yeah, actually. And if you end up stuck? Make sure you’re in something you don’t mind holding—good crypto or solid stocks. Forex without massive volume is a waste of time, and leverage is just a way to lose faster.

We’re not trying to teach you how to fly the plane upside down. We’re giving you something that flies right-side up. Standard Thornburgh Signals tells you when trends are exhausted and when pullbacks matter. What you do with that information—scale in, scale out, average down intelligently—that’s the system you build around it.

This indicator is the foundation. Your position sizing and patience are the rest of the strategy.

Standard Thornburgh Signals: The math that tells you when to pay attention. What you do next is up to you.